AIIMS doctor lists two factors behind COVID waves: Virus mutation, human error

The COVID-19 wave depends on two important factors — virus-related human-related factors, said AIIMS top doctor on Sunday.

“In any pademic, the wave depends on two important factors: One is virus related and second is human-related factor. Through COVID appropriate behaviour one can stop these waves,” said  Dr Neeraj Nischal, assistant professor at medicine department in AIIMS.

He further said that the virus can be contained by following COVID-appropriate behaviour, while adding that mutation of virus is beyond anyone’s control.

“Now virus mutates and becomes more infectious. It is something that is beyond our control. But of course, if we do not allow this virus to replicate in our body then maybe this type of mutations can be avoided. What we can do to control is our behaviour. We have been talking about COVID appropriate behaviour for 15-16 months and we know that by COVID appropriate behaviour, one can stop these waves altogether. That had happened in the second wave also,” he said.

He also asserted that vaccination will help check infections.“Vaccination will help in preventing you from getting an infection even if you get infected then it will ensure that you don’t get a severe form of the disease,” he added.

COVID 3rd wave threat looms

On Saturday, AIIMS director Randeep Guleria cautioned that the next wave of viral infection can strike the country in the next six to eight weeks if COVID-appropriate behaviour is not followed and crowding not prevented.

Calling for a stricter surveillance and area-specific lockdowns in case of a significant surge, he said COVID-appropriate behaviour needs to be followed aggressively until a sizeable number of the population are vaccinated.

“If Covid-appropriate behaviour is not followed, the third wave can happen in six to eight weeks. We need to work aggressively to prevent another large wave till vaccination kicks in,” Guleria told PTI.

Earlier, India’s epidemiologists had indicated that a third wave of COVID-19 is inevitable and is likely to hit the country from September-October.

India witnessed a brutal second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in April and May, claiming several lives daily and leading to shortage of oxygen supply at various hospitals.

However, the situation is improving in the country with the number of cases showing a downward trend and the positivity rate too shrinking in the last several days.


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